Dave Stainforth

Environmental Change Institute,
Centre for the Environment,
Oxford University,
South Parks Road,
Oxford,
OXON
OX1 3QY
United Kingdom

Tel: +44 (0)1865 285536
Fax: +44 (0)1865 275850
Email: d.stainforth1@physics.ox.ac.uk

I have a particular interest in research in the following areas:

• Distributed computing for large scale modelling research.
• Uncertainty analysis in climate forecasting.
• Public involvement in climate and environmental research.
• E-science techniques for data access and analysis.
• Uncertainty analysis in regional climate modelling and forecasting.
• Seasonal forecasting of climate on the 3-12 month timescales.

• Renewable energy systems; particularly methods of encouraging the development of renewable energy sources as large scale energy producers in both western and developing countries
• Paramaterization of gravity waves in GCMs and the forces which drive the QBO (Quasi Biennial Oscillation).

A Selection of Recent Publications:

1. Two approaches to quantifying uncertainty in global temperature changes under different forcing scenarios, Journal of Climate. (2006).
Authors: A. Lopez, C. Tebaldi, M. New, D. Stainforth, M. Allen, & J. Kettleborough.
2. Constraining climate sensitivity from the seasonal cycle in surface temperature, Journal of Climate. (2006).
Authors: R. Knutti, G. Meehl, M.R. Allen & D.A. Stainforth.
3. Risks Associated with Stabilisation Scenarios and Uncertainty in Regional and Global Climate Change Impacts, Chapter 33 of Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, ISBN-13: 9780521864718, ISBN-10: 0521864712, February 2006.
Authors: D. A. Stainforth, M. R. Allen, D. J. Frame, C. Piani.
4. Observational Constraints on Climate Sensitivity, Chapter 29 of Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, ISBN-13: 9780521864718, ISBN-10: 0521864712, February 2006.
Authors: M. Allen, N. Andronova, B. Booth, S. Dessai, D. Frame, C. Forest, J. Gregory, G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, C. Piani, D. Sexton and D. Stainforth.
5. Data access and analysis with distributed federated data servers in climateprediction.net, Advances in Geosciences. (2006)
Authors: N. Massey, T. Aina, M. Allen, C. Christensen, D. Frame, D. Goodman, J. Kettleborough, A. Martin, S. Pascoe & D. Stainforth.
6. "Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases", Nature, Vol 433: 403-406 (2005).
Authors: D. Stainforth, T. Aina, C. Christensen, M. Collins, N.Faull, D.J.Frame, J.A.Kettleborough, S.Knight, A.Martin, J.M.Murphy, C.Piani, D.Sexton, L.A.Smith, R.A,Spicer, A.J.Thorpe & M.R.Allen
7. " Constraining climate forecasts: The role of prior assumptions " , Geophysical Review Letters, 32, L09702, May 2005.
Authors: D. J. Frame, B. B. B. Booth, J. A. Kettleborough, D. A. Stainforth, J. M. Gregory, M. Collins, and M. R. Allen,
8. Multispectral Imaging Contributions to Global Land Ice Measurements from Space , Remote Sensing of the Environment, special issue on Terra/ASTER science. Vol 99, 187-219, 2005.
Authors: Jeffrey S. Kargel, Michael J. Abrams, Michael P. Bishop, Andrew Bush, Gordon Hamilton, Hester Jiskoot, Andreas Kaab, Hugh H. Kieffer, Ella M. Lee, Frank Paul, Frank Rau, Bruce Raup, John F. Shroder, Deborah Soltesz, David Stainforth, Leigh Stearns and Rick Wessels
9. Constraints on climate change from a multi-thousand member ensemble of simulations, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L23825, December 2005
Authors: C. Piani, D.J. Frame, D.A. Stainforth & M.R. Allen
10. " The Challenge of Volunteer Computing with Lengthy Climate Model Simulations ", Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on e-Science and Grid Technologies (e-science 2005/IEEE). Melbourne, December 2005.
Authors: C. Christensen, T. Aina and D. Stainforth
11. " Security Principles for Public Resource Modeling Research ", Proceedings of the 13th IEEE Workshops on Enabling Technologies: Infrastructure for Collaborative Enterprises (WET-ICE) (2004).
Authors: D. Stainforth, A. Martin, A. Simpson, C. Christensen, J. Kettleborough, T. Aina & M. Allen.
12. " The Equatorial Statospheric Response to Variations in Deterministic and Stochastic Gravity-Wave Parameterizations " ,Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 109 - D14 (July 2004).
Authors: C. Piani, W. Norton, D. Stainforth.
13. " Environmental Online Communication Ch. 12: Climateprediction.net: A Global Community for Research in Climate Physics " , (ed Arno Scharl). Springer -Verlag London Ltd., 2004. ISBN: 1-85233-783-4
Authors: David A Stainforth, Myles R Allen, David Frame, Jamie Kettleborough, Carl Christensen, Tolu Aina, Matthew Collins
14. " Visualization For Public-Resource Climate Modelling " , Proceedings of the Joint Eurographics / IEEE TCVG Symposium on Visualisation (2004).
Authors: J.P.R.B. Walton, D. Frame and D.A. Stainforth.
15. "Climateprediction.net: Design Principles for Public-Resource Modeling Research", Proceedings of the 14th IASTED International Conference on Parallel and Distributed Computing Systems. (2002).
Authors: D. Stainforth, J. Kettleborough, A. Martin, A. Simpson, R. Gillis, A. Akkas, R. Gault, M. Collins, D. Gavaghan & M. Allen.
16. "Towards Objective Probabilistic Climate Forecasting". Nature, Vol 419:228 (2002).
Authors: M. R. Allen and D. A. Stainforth.
17. "Distributed Computing for Public Interest Climate Modeling Research", Computing in Science and Engineering 4(3): 82-89 (2002).
Authors: D. Stainforth, J. Kettleborough, M. Allen, M. Collins, A. Heaps & J. Murphy.
18. "Casino-21: Climate Simulation of the 21st Century", World Resource Review, Vol 13 (2001)
Authors: J. A. Hansen, M. Allen, D. Stainforth, A. Heaps, P. Stott.
19. "Realistic Quasi-Biennial Oscillations in a Simulation of the Global Climate", Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 27, No. 21. (2000)
Authors: A. Scaife, N. Butchart, C. Warner, D. Stainforth, W. Norton, J. Austin.